Scottish independence polls: Would Nicola Sturgeon WIN another referendum? Polls and odds
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Scottish independence would see Scotland become a sovereign state. Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has today outlined her Government’s priorities for 2020/2021. The SNP Government told a court Indyref2 is not imminent as they argued against attempts by a campaigner to test if Holyrood can push ahead without permission from London. But would Ms Sturgeon win another referendum vote?
Speaking today, Ms Sturgeon said: “We will continue to do all we can to help individuals and businesses adapt, survive and succeed.”
In the wake of Brexit, she announced a new Inward Investment Plan “with the aim of creating 100,000 high-quality jobs over the next decade”.
As an SNP member of parliament, she believes in Scottish Independence.
On this independence, she said: “Before the end of Parliament, we will publish a draft Bill, setting out the proposed terms and timing of an independence referendum, as well as the proposed question that people will be asked in that referendum.”
Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has told MSPs a draft Bill will be drawn up setting out the timing, terms and question for a new Scottish independence referendum.
Ms Sturgeon announced she will publish a draft Bill setting out the proposed question, terms and timing of Indyref2.
She added: “At next year’s election, we will make the case for Scotland to become an independent country, and seek a clear endorsement of Scotland’s right to choose our own future.”
The First Minister said her focus now is on coronavirus, but her announcement means the Scottish Independence vote will be a key issue at the next election.
But the UK has said it will not agree to a second independence referendum vote.
In January, Prime Minister Boris Johnson formally rejected a call from Ms Sturgeon for a second referendum vote.
He said this referendum would “continue the political stagnation Scotland has seen for the past decade”.
Ms Sturgeon responded that the Tories were attempting to “deny democracy”.
She said Mr Johnson’s formal refusal of her request for a referendum to be held later this year was “predictable but also unsustainable and self-defeating”, and insisted that “Scotland will have the right to choose”.
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SNP ministers have told a court that a second independence referendum is not imminent.
The UK and Scottish Governments were taken to the Court of Session as part of a bid to secure a ruling on the second vote on independence according to The Times.
Reportedly there is tension within the SNP over the approach to a second referendum.
Ms Sturgeon said given the party’s commitment to independence, she will secure a mandate if the nationalists return a majority of MSPs.
The latest polls suggest that at present such a scenario is likely.
Earlier this month a poll by Panelbase suggested support for Scottish independence has reached a record high of 55 percent.
This was the reverse of the outcome of the 2014 referendum vote where 55 percent voted in support of staying within the UK, excluding undecided voters.
Pro-independence organisation Business for Scotland commissioned the poll, with chief executive Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp hailing the results as a “huge landmark” showing the “writing is very definitely on the wall for the union.”
The poll conducted between August 12 and 18, surveyed 1,011 people found 51 percent of all voters would support independence overall.
By comparison, 42 percent said they would vote to stay in the UK and seven percent of voters were undecided.
According to the Betfair Exchange, the odds of Ms Sturgeon winning a second referendum vote is 5/6.
Odds are also at 5/6 of Ms Sturgeon losing a second referendum.
Betfair spokesperson Darren Hughes said: “With the threat of Brexit continuing to hang over Scotland, speculation will surely continue to rise over the prospect of Scotland breaking away from the union.
“With Nicola Sturgeon keen to remain in the EU, and Scotland having voted as such in the referendum, another independence referendum may well be on the cards.
“Punters can’t decide which way a prospective referendum would go, with both Pass and Fail 5/6 apiece in the betting.”
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